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Red209
441471.8
594067.2
347667.9
Blue152
473854.7
167151.3
449968.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18413850100150200250209152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.80.7
67.267.9
Auto12.1
Teleop57.8
End1.0
red by 3.2
4499
#18
68.50.4
63.362.9
Auto11.7
Teleop52.1
End-0.0
Second
67.90.7
67.968.7
Auto11.8
Teleop52.2
End0.6
red by 13.1
4738
#33
54.70.4
55.354.9
Auto12.4
Teleop41.3
End-0.1
Third
5940
#30
67.20.7
69.870.6
Auto15.6
Teleop46.9
End1.0
red by 16.0
1671
#27
51.30.4
44.744.3
Auto12.0
Teleop38.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned87%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned