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Red159
84648.1
176852.3
449968.5
Blue213
603675.1
204667.1
546065.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133174050100150200250300159213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#18
68.50.2
62.963.1
Auto11.7
Teleop52.1
End-0.0
blue by 6.5
75.11.9
72.073.8
Auto15.0
Teleop54.9
End0.5
Second
1768
#12
52.30.2
51.251.4
Auto8.0
Teleop41.4
End0.8
blue by 14.8
2046
#19
67.11.9
65.967.7
Auto14.2
Teleop45.9
End1.5
Third
846
#17
48.10.2
49.649.8
Auto8.7
Teleop39.4
End-1.5
blue by 17.8
5460
#20
65.91.9
60.162.0
Auto10.9
Teleop52.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned100%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned