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Red187
69455.4
11543.4
14867.1
Blue151
135145.2
196737.4
347667.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140119050100200250187151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#14
67.12.0
64.866.8
Auto11.3
Teleop51.6
End1.6
blue by 0.8
67.90.4
68.769.1
Auto11.8
Teleop52.2
End0.6
Second
694
#13
55.42.0
51.853.8
Auto8.7
Teleop43.8
End1.0
red by 10.3
1351
#40
45.20.4
45.245.7
Auto7.1
Teleop36.2
End0.5
Third
115
#41
43.42.0
44.046.1
Auto6.9
Teleop35.4
End0.3
red by 6.0
1967
#39
37.40.4
33.333.7
Auto9.6
Teleop27.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned68%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned