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Red175
449968.5
603675.1
69455.4
Blue223
167884.2
58162.8
153862.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152169050100200250300175223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.10.2
73.873.6
Auto15.0
Teleop54.9
End0.5
blue by 9.1
84.21.7
82.183.9
Auto15.4
Teleop61.4
End1.8
Second
4499
#18
68.50.2
63.162.9
Auto11.7
Teleop52.1
End-0.0
red by 5.7
581
#22
62.81.7
59.260.9
Auto11.0
Teleop50.1
End0.3
Third
694
#13
55.40.2
53.853.6
Auto8.7
Teleop43.8
End1.0
blue by 7.3
1538
#24
62.71.7
59.561.2
Auto11.6
Teleop49.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned