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Red197
441471.8
425556.9
384763.8
Blue179
366354.7
519960.9
204667.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152150130140160170180190197179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.81.5
67.168.6
Auto12.1
Teleop57.8
End1.0
red by 4.7
2046
#19
67.10.2
67.767.9
Auto14.2
Teleop45.9
End1.5
Second
63.81.5
57.559.0
Auto10.8
Teleop51.0
End0.6
red by 3.0
5199
#26
60.90.2
59.459.5
Auto10.5
Teleop46.2
End0.6
Third
4255
#36
56.91.5
56.658.1
Auto12.5
Teleop40.2
End0.8
red by 2.2
3663
#25
54.70.2
53.553.6
Auto10.8
Teleop43.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned