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Red154
715756.1
14867.1
161965.6
Blue202
25484.1
546065.9
541947.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1541656080100120140180200220154202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#14
67.11.6
66.865.2
Auto11.3
Teleop51.6
End1.6
blue by 17.0
254
#3
84.10.8
80.681.5
Auto16.0
Teleop63.5
End1.1
Second
1619
#28
65.61.6
64.963.3
Auto15.4
Teleop45.9
End0.5
blue by 0.2
5460
#20
65.90.8
62.062.8
Auto10.9
Teleop52.5
End0.7
Third
7157
#31
56.11.6
56.454.8
Auto9.0
Teleop43.5
End1.0
red by 8.9
5419
#11
47.20.8
47.648.5
Auto8.2
Teleop40.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned