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Red194
541947.2
715756.1
449968.5
Blue187
473854.7
35963.4
176852.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142141100120160180194187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#18
68.50.9
62.963.9
Auto11.7
Teleop52.1
End-0.0
red by 5.1
359
#15
63.41.8
61.963.7
Auto13.3
Teleop45.9
End1.3
Second
7157
#31
56.10.9
54.855.7
Auto9.0
Teleop43.5
End1.0
red by 1.4
4738
#33
54.71.8
53.755.5
Auto12.4
Teleop41.3
End-0.1
Third
5419
#11
47.20.9
48.549.4
Auto8.2
Teleop40.8
End0.1
blue by 5.1
1768
#12
52.31.8
50.452.3
Auto8.0
Teleop41.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned