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Red204
167151.3
425556.9
161965.6
Blue182
135145.2
11543.4
546065.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143124050100200250300204182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#28
65.62.6
63.365.9
Auto15.4
Teleop45.9
End0.5
blue by 0.2
5460
#20
65.92.0
62.864.8
Auto10.9
Teleop52.5
End0.7
Second
4255
#36
56.92.6
58.160.7
Auto12.5
Teleop40.2
End0.8
red by 11.7
1351
#40
45.22.0
44.146.1
Auto7.1
Teleop36.2
End0.5
Third
1671
#27
51.32.6
47.850.4
Auto12.0
Teleop38.6
End0.2
red by 7.8
115
#41
43.42.0
44.546.5
Auto6.9
Teleop35.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned81%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned