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Red185
14867.1
353851.9
68752.6
Blue186
69455.4
441471.8
84648.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145140100120160180185186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#14
67.11.2
65.266.4
Auto11.3
Teleop51.6
End1.6
blue by 4.7
71.80.5
68.669.2
Auto12.1
Teleop57.8
End1.0
Second
687
#32
52.61.2
50.451.7
Auto11.0
Teleop39.5
End0.7
blue by 2.9
694
#13
55.40.5
53.654.1
Auto8.7
Teleop43.8
End1.0
Third
3538
#21
51.91.2
51.853.1
Auto9.8
Teleop42.9
End-0.1
red by 3.8
846
#17
48.10.5
49.850.4
Auto8.7
Teleop39.4
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned