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Red106
186851.3
353851.9
11543.4
Blue210
449968.5
14867.1
519960.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124158050100200250106210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#21
51.93.0
53.150.0
Auto9.8
Teleop42.9
End-0.1
blue by 16.7
4499
#18
68.52.2
63.966.1
Auto11.7
Teleop52.1
End-0.0
Second
1868
#34
51.33.0
54.351.3
Auto12.2
Teleop35.6
End1.5
blue by 15.8
148
#14
67.12.2
66.468.7
Auto11.3
Teleop51.6
End1.6
Third
115
#41
43.43.0
46.543.4
Auto6.9
Teleop35.4
End0.3
blue by 17.5
5199
#26
60.92.2
58.560.7
Auto10.5
Teleop46.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsMissed98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned