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Red186
11460.2
69652.2
69455.4
Blue181
364750.6
546065.9
384763.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134140050100200250186181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#16
60.21.3
58.960.2
Auto11.3
Teleop45.9
End0.5
blue by 5.7
5460
#20
65.90.8
64.865.5
Auto10.9
Teleop52.5
End0.7
Second
694
#13
55.41.3
54.155.4
Auto8.7
Teleop43.8
End1.0
blue by 8.4
63.80.8
60.561.3
Auto10.8
Teleop51.0
End0.6
Third
696
#2
52.21.3
52.553.8
Auto9.4
Teleop43.1
End0.2
red by 1.6
3647
#38
50.60.8
49.850.6
Auto12.8
Teleop35.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned