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Red213
265952.1
603675.1
441471.8
Blue158
594067.2
161965.6
135145.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16114850100200213158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.12.1
73.875.9
Auto15.0
Teleop54.9
End0.5
red by 7.8
5940
#30
67.20.9
68.968.0
Auto15.6
Teleop46.9
End1.0
Second
71.82.1
69.271.2
Auto12.1
Teleop57.8
End1.0
red by 6.1
1619
#28
65.60.9
65.965.0
Auto15.4
Teleop45.9
End0.5
Third
2659
#35
52.12.1
48.150.1
Auto11.1
Teleop37.9
End0.4
red by 6.9
1351
#40
45.20.9
46.145.2
Auto7.1
Teleop36.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned