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Red199
176852.3
347667.9
167884.2
Blue120
84648.1
541947.2
803352.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16712950100150200250199120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.20.0
83.983.9
Auto15.4
Teleop61.4
End1.8
red by 31.6
8033
#37
52.52.3
54.952.5
Auto9.3
Teleop40.2
End1.3
Second
67.90.0
68.168.1
Auto11.8
Teleop52.2
End0.6
red by 19.8
846
#17
48.12.3
50.448.1
Auto8.7
Teleop39.4
End-1.5
Third
1768
#12
52.30.0
52.352.3
Auto8.0
Teleop41.4
End0.8
red by 5.1
5419
#11
47.22.3
49.447.1
Auto8.2
Teleop40.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned83%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned