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Red197
366354.7
167151.3
25484.1
Blue207
207567.5
35963.4
291071.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155164050100200250300197207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#3
84.10.9
82.983.8
Auto16.0
Teleop63.5
End1.1
red by 12.3
71.81.3
70.271.5
Auto11.3
Teleop52.8
End1.6
Second
3663
#25
54.70.9
53.854.7
Auto10.8
Teleop43.1
End0.9
blue by 12.8
2075
#10
67.51.3
67.869.1
Auto15.5
Teleop46.9
End1.3
Third
1671
#27
51.30.9
50.451.3
Auto12.0
Teleop38.6
End0.2
blue by 12.1
359
#15
63.41.3
63.765.0
Auto13.3
Teleop45.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned100%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned