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Red195
60459.6
449968.5
265952.1
Blue182
715756.1
384763.8
58162.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14314550100200195182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4499
#18
68.51.9
66.168.0
Auto11.7
Teleop52.1
End-0.0
red by 4.7
63.80.7
61.362.0
Auto10.8
Teleop51.0
End0.6
Second
604
#23
59.61.9
57.959.9
Auto11.2
Teleop45.6
End1.6
blue by 3.3
581
#22
62.80.7
61.662.3
Auto11.0
Teleop50.1
End0.3
Third
2659
#35
52.11.9
50.152.1
Auto11.1
Teleop37.9
End0.4
blue by 4.0
7157
#31
56.10.7
55.756.4
Auto9.0
Teleop43.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned