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Red225
25484.1
519960.9
167884.2
Blue203
384763.8
353851.9
97158.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18013550100150200250225203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.20.1
83.984.0
Auto15.4
Teleop61.4
End1.8
red by 20.4
63.80.8
62.062.8
Auto10.8
Teleop51.0
End0.6
Second
254
#3
84.10.1
83.883.9
Auto16.0
Teleop63.5
End1.1
red by 25.9
971
#29
58.20.8
56.357.1
Auto11.6
Teleop45.6
End0.7
Third
5199
#26
60.90.1
60.760.8
Auto10.5
Teleop46.2
End0.6
red by 9.0
3538
#21
51.90.8
50.050.8
Auto9.8
Teleop42.9
End-0.1