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Red187
219951.7
236365.3
173160.3
Blue174
210645.0
172765.9
859260.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176173150160180190200187174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.30.4
64.665.0
Auto14.3
Teleop40.2
End7.8
blue by 0.6
65.90.3
65.665.8
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.6
Second
60.30.4
59.760.1
Auto14.5
Teleop34.9
End8.7
blue by 0.1
60.40.3
60.160.4
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
Third
2199
#24
51.70.4
51.151.4
Auto15.8
Teleop25.9
End9.0
red by 6.7
2106
#20
45.00.3
44.845.0
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End9.5