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Red179
219951.7
236365.3
173160.3
Blue165
210645.0
172765.9
859260.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177174140150160170190200210179165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.30.3
65.065.3
Auto14.3
Teleop40.2
End7.8
blue by 0.6
65.90.0
65.865.9
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.6
Second
60.30.3
60.160.3
Auto14.5
Teleop34.9
End8.7
blue by 0.1
60.40.0
60.460.4
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
Third
2199
#24
51.70.3
51.451.7
Auto15.8
Teleop25.9
End9.0
red by 6.7
2106
#20
45.00.0
45.045.0
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End9.5