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Red140
61440.2
632642.0
12238.7
Blue115
533841.5
777027.6
112352.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241320200300400500140115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6326
#25
42.01.2
40.141.3
Auto9.4
Teleop24.6
End7.3
blue by 10.4
52.42.0
53.251.2
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End8.0
Second
614
#26
40.21.2
40.441.6
Auto13.1
Teleop20.3
End6.9
blue by 1.3
5338
#55
41.52.0
42.040.0
Auto7.9
Teleop28.2
End5.4
Third
122
#28
38.71.2
36.637.8
Auto11.8
Teleop19.7
End7.4
red by 11.1
7770
#43
27.62.0
27.625.6
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsEarned79%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsMissed