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Red170
42255.6
161037.9
210645.0
Blue161
409946.9
38456.8
88841.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133152100200170161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#11
55.62.9
51.754.5
Auto14.8
Teleop34.2
End6.4
blue by 1.1
384
#9
56.81.0
55.356.4
Auto13.9
Teleop34.7
End7.0
Second
2106
#20
45.02.9
40.343.2
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End9.5
blue by 1.8
4099
#23
46.91.0
45.946.9
Auto11.2
Teleop28.0
End7.3
Third
1610
#14
37.92.9
35.137.9
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End6.4
blue by 3.9
888
#33
41.71.0
41.342.3
Auto13.3
Teleop20.5
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
91%Sustainability oddsEarned79%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned