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Red116
12238.7
445636.9
903329.2
Blue77
862218.2
558724.1
161037.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9054020408010012014016011677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#28
38.72.4
28.330.7
Auto11.8
Teleop19.7
End7.4
red by 0.8
1610
#14
37.91.4
31.633.1
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End6.4
Second
4456
#27
36.92.4
31.033.4
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.3
red by 12.8
5587
#60
24.11.4
13.414.8
Auto6.4
Teleop12.4
End5.6
Third
9033
#49
29.22.4
20.623.0
Auto8.5
Teleop16.8
End4.0
red by 11.0
8622
#53
18.21.4
10.411.9
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed