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Red95
632642.0
68644.7
777027.6
Blue115
511535.4
159947.7
88841.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971255015020095115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#37
44.70.1
38.038.1
Auto13.1
Teleop23.8
End7.1
blue by 3.0
1599
#10
47.70.1
47.247.3
Auto11.9
Teleop27.8
End7.3
Second
6326
#25
42.00.1
33.033.1
Auto9.4
Teleop24.6
End7.3
red by 0.2
888
#33
41.70.1
33.733.8
Auto13.3
Teleop20.5
End8.0
Third
7770
#43
27.60.1
23.123.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End4.6
blue by 7.8
5115
#47
35.40.1
32.732.8
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsMissed