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Red166
34643.9
44950.0
210645.0
Blue125
872630.2
572446.2
632642.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14611850100200166125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#16
50.01.5
48.349.8
Auto13.7
Teleop28.8
End7.5
red by 3.9
5724
#18
46.20.7
45.245.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.1
End8.6
Second
2106
#20
45.01.5
43.244.7
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End9.5
red by 3.1
6326
#25
42.00.7
41.342.0
Auto9.4
Teleop24.6
End7.3
Third
346
#34
43.91.5
42.243.7
Auto12.5
Teleop26.6
End5.1
red by 13.7
8726
#46
30.20.7
29.530.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsEarned80%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned