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Red148
454144.1
138938.9
62345.1
Blue131
242130.6
111140.3
533841.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361116080100120160180200148131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#22
45.11.2
43.845.0
Auto11.4
Teleop25.6
End8.3
red by 3.5
5338
#55
41.51.6
40.041.5
Auto7.9
Teleop28.2
End5.4
Second
4541
#30
44.11.2
42.944.1
Auto9.9
Teleop29.0
End4.7
red by 3.9
1111
#15
40.31.6
38.640.2
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End8.1
Third
1389
#44
38.91.2
37.738.9
Auto13.3
Teleop19.0
End6.6
red by 8.4
2421
#51
30.61.6
29.030.6
Auto10.4
Teleop11.6
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned71%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned