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Red136
112352.4
337337.9
903329.2
Blue162
68644.7
38456.8
236365.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11617250100150200250136162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.41.4
51.252.6
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End8.0
blue by 12.9
65.30.2
63.163.3
Auto14.3
Teleop40.2
End7.8
Second
3373
#45
37.91.4
36.537.9
Auto9.1
Teleop19.1
End9.8
blue by 18.9
384
#9
56.80.2
56.456.5
Auto13.9
Teleop34.7
End7.0
Third
9033
#49
29.21.4
27.829.2
Auto8.5
Teleop16.8
End4.0
blue by 15.5
686
#37
44.70.2
44.544.7
Auto13.1
Teleop23.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned