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Red128
126221.1
447248.1
141840.6
Blue155
859260.4
11636.1
393938.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10814150200128155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#19
48.11.5
46.548.0
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End7.6
blue by 12.4
60.41.8
58.360.1
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
Second
1418
#13
40.61.5
39.340.8
Auto13.3
Teleop21.7
End5.4
red by 2.1
3939
#32
38.51.8
36.738.5
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End5.9
Third
1262
#59
21.11.5
19.621.1
Auto5.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
blue by 15.0
116
#38
36.11.8
34.336.1
Auto8.7
Teleop21.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned