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Red137
206822.1
172765.9
189531.0
Blue115
313640.9
159947.7
445636.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11913950100150200137115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.91.5
63.965.5
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.6
red by 18.1
1599
#10
47.70.8
48.848.0
Auto11.9
Teleop27.8
End7.3
Second
1895
#40
31.01.5
29.531.0
Auto9.9
Teleop14.9
End6.3
blue by 9.9
3136
#39
40.90.8
41.740.9
Auto11.5
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Third
2068
#58
22.11.5
20.622.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.6
End3.7
blue by 14.7
4456
#27
36.90.8
37.736.9
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsEarned79%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed