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Red91
88841.7
62027.1
554928.8
Blue154
40158.5
862218.2
83650.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011355015020091154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#33
41.70.5
42.341.7
Auto13.3
Teleop20.5
End8.0
blue by 16.7
401
#6
58.51.8
57.759.4
Auto13.2
Teleop37.4
End6.4
Second
5549
#52
28.80.5
29.328.8
Auto8.4
Teleop16.6
End3.5
blue by 21.4
836
#31
50.11.8
48.149.9
Auto13.6
Teleop28.3
End7.9
Third
620
#57
27.10.5
27.627.1
Auto8.5
Teleop13.1
End5.6
red by 8.9
8622
#53
18.21.8
16.418.2
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed60%Activation oddsEarned