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Red161
859260.4
172765.9
210645.0
Blue157
162949.7
447248.1
62345.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177148100200250161157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.0
65.565.4
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.6
red by 16.2
1629
#12
49.70.3
49.650.0
Auto14.8
Teleop28.4
End5.8
Second
60.40.0
60.160.0
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
red by 12.4
4472
#19
48.10.3
48.048.3
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End7.6
Third
2106
#20
45.00.0
44.744.6
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End9.5
Level
623
#22
45.10.3
45.045.4
Auto11.4
Teleop25.6
End8.3