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Red161
580459.0
83650.1
572446.2
Blue187
409946.9
40158.5
61440.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159156140150170180190161187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.00.1
58.858.8
Auto14.9
Teleop33.8
End8.1
red by 0.6
401
#6
58.50.9
59.460.3
Auto13.2
Teleop37.4
End6.4
Second
836
#31
50.10.1
49.949.9
Auto13.6
Teleop28.3
End7.9
red by 3.2
4099
#23
46.90.9
47.948.8
Auto11.2
Teleop28.0
End7.3
Third
5724
#18
46.20.1
45.945.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.1
End8.6
red by 5.9
614
#26
40.20.9
40.241.1
Auto13.1
Teleop20.3
End6.9