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Red178
219951.7
236365.3
173160.3
Blue167
34643.9
38456.8
44950.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174156100120140200220240178167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.30.3
63.363.6
Auto14.3
Teleop40.2
End7.8
red by 8.5
384
#9
56.80.4
56.556.9
Auto13.9
Teleop34.7
End7.0
Second
60.30.3
58.358.6
Auto14.5
Teleop34.9
End8.7
red by 10.3
449
#16
50.00.4
49.850.2
Auto13.7
Teleop28.8
End7.5
Third
2199
#24
51.70.3
49.750.0
Auto15.8
Teleop25.9
End9.0
red by 7.8
346
#34
43.90.4
43.744.1
Auto12.5
Teleop26.6
End5.1