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Red149
111140.3
42255.6
680249.1
Blue139
159947.7
112352.4
141840.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155147100120140180200220149139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#11
55.60.1
55.555.6
Auto14.8
Teleop34.2
End6.4
red by 3.3
52.40.1
52.652.5
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End8.0
Second
49.10.1
48.949.0
Auto16.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
red by 1.3
1599
#10
47.70.1
48.047.8
Auto11.9
Teleop27.8
End7.3
Third
1111
#15
40.30.1
40.240.3
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End8.1
blue by 0.3
1418
#13
40.60.1
40.840.7
Auto13.3
Teleop21.7
End5.4