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Red136
62345.1
447248.1
162949.7
Blue165
572446.2
83650.1
580459.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521600100200300400136165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#12
49.70.3
50.049.7
Auto14.8
Teleop28.4
End5.8
blue by 9.4
59.00.2
58.859.1
Auto14.9
Teleop33.8
End8.1
Second
4472
#19
48.10.3
48.348.1
Auto14.6
Teleop25.2
End7.6
blue by 2.1
836
#31
50.10.2
49.950.2
Auto13.6
Teleop28.3
End7.9
Third
623
#22
45.10.3
45.445.1
Auto11.4
Teleop25.6
End8.3
blue by 1.1
5724
#18
46.20.2
45.946.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.1
End8.6