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Red170
44950.0
38456.8
34643.9
Blue133
159947.7
112352.4
141840.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162145100120180200220170133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#9
56.80.3
56.957.3
Auto13.9
Teleop34.7
End7.0
red by 4.4
52.40.1
52.552.4
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End8.0
Second
449
#16
50.00.3
50.250.5
Auto13.7
Teleop28.8
End7.5
red by 2.3
1599
#10
47.70.1
47.847.7
Auto11.9
Teleop27.8
End7.3
Third
346
#34
43.90.3
44.144.4
Auto12.5
Teleop26.6
End5.1
red by 3.4
1418
#13
40.60.1
40.740.6
Auto13.3
Teleop21.7
End5.4