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Red152
859260.4
172765.9
210645.0
Blue127
409946.9
40158.5
61440.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175157100200250152127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.3
65.465.1
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.6
red by 7.4
401
#6
58.50.8
60.359.5
Auto13.2
Teleop37.4
End6.4
Second
60.40.3
60.059.7
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
red by 13.5
4099
#23
46.90.8
48.847.9
Auto11.2
Teleop28.0
End7.3
Third
2106
#20
45.00.3
44.644.3
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End9.5
red by 4.8
614
#26
40.20.8
41.140.3
Auto13.1
Teleop20.3
End6.9