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Red182
219951.7
236365.3
173160.3
Blue147
680249.1
42255.6
111140.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176151100120140160200220240182147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.30.5
63.664.0
Auto14.3
Teleop40.2
End7.8
red by 9.7
422
#11
55.60.0
55.655.7
Auto14.8
Teleop34.2
End6.4
Second
60.30.5
58.659.1
Auto14.5
Teleop34.9
End8.7
red by 11.3
49.10.0
49.049.1
Auto16.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
Third
2199
#24
51.70.5
50.050.4
Auto15.8
Teleop25.9
End9.0
red by 11.4
1111
#15
40.30.0
40.340.3
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End8.1