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Red144
61440.2
40158.5
409946.9
Blue129
34643.9
38456.8
44950.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159158130140150170180190144129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#6
58.50.1
59.559.4
Auto13.2
Teleop37.4
End6.4
red by 1.7
384
#9
56.80.5
57.356.8
Auto13.9
Teleop34.7
End7.0
Second
4099
#23
46.90.1
47.947.9
Auto11.2
Teleop28.0
End7.3
blue by 3.1
449
#16
50.00.5
50.550.0
Auto13.7
Teleop28.8
End7.5
Third
614
#26
40.20.1
40.340.2
Auto13.1
Teleop20.3
End6.9
blue by 3.7
346
#34
43.90.5
44.443.9
Auto12.5
Teleop26.6
End5.1