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Red144
111140.3
42255.6
680249.1
Blue153
572446.2
83650.1
580459.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15416050100200250300144153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#11
55.60.0
55.755.6
Auto14.8
Teleop34.2
End6.4
blue by 3.4
59.00.1
59.159.1
Auto14.9
Teleop33.8
End8.1
Second
49.10.0
49.149.1
Auto16.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
blue by 1.1
836
#31
50.10.1
50.250.2
Auto13.6
Teleop28.3
End7.9
Third
1111
#15
40.30.0
40.340.3
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End8.1
blue by 5.9
5724
#18
46.20.1
46.246.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.1
End8.6