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Red178
859260.4
172765.9
210645.0
Blue191
173160.3
236365.3
219951.7
49%Model gave it51%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1711740100200300400178191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.4
65.165.5
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.6
red by 0.6
65.30.6
64.064.6
Auto14.3
Teleop40.2
End7.8
Second
60.40.4
59.760.1
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
red by 0.1
60.30.6
59.159.7
Auto14.5
Teleop34.9
End8.7
Third
2106
#20
45.00.4
44.344.7
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End9.5
blue by 6.7
2199
#24
51.70.6
50.451.1
Auto15.8
Teleop25.9
End9.0