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Red119
313640.9
533841.5
138938.9
Blue123
61231.5
680249.1
61440.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108109100105115120119123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#55
41.50.8
37.037.8
Auto7.9
Teleop28.2
End5.4
blue by 7.5
49.11.4
40.642.0
Auto16.2
Teleop24.8
End7.6
Second
3136
#39
40.90.8
34.835.7
Auto11.5
Teleop23.2
End6.3
red by 0.6
614
#26
40.21.4
33.534.9
Auto13.1
Teleop20.3
End6.9
Third
1389
#44
38.90.8
29.930.7
Auto13.3
Teleop19.0
End6.6
red by 7.4
612
#42
31.51.4
28.229.5
Auto9.0
Teleop15.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned