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Red145
173160.3
554928.8
172765.9
Blue114
42255.6
62345.1
572446.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145129100200250145114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.6
59.158.5
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.6
red by 10.2
422
#11
55.61.0
50.249.3
Auto14.8
Teleop34.2
End6.4
Second
60.30.6
52.852.2
Auto14.5
Teleop34.9
End8.7
red by 14.2
5724
#18
46.21.0
38.437.4
Auto10.7
Teleop26.1
End8.6
Third
5549
#52
28.80.6
27.927.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.6
End3.5
blue by 16.3
623
#22
45.11.0
34.733.7
Auto11.4
Teleop25.6
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned