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Red82
161037.9
62027.1
68644.7
Blue129
111140.3
112352.4
237733.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10111805015020025082129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#37
44.71.0
39.038.0
Auto13.1
Teleop23.8
End7.1
blue by 7.7
52.41.4
46.948.2
Auto11.5
Teleop31.5
End8.0
Second
1610
#14
37.91.0
32.631.6
Auto8.1
Teleop23.3
End6.4
blue by 2.4
1111
#15
40.31.4
34.736.1
Auto10.9
Teleop21.3
End8.1
Third
620
#57
27.11.0
25.024.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.1
End5.6
blue by 5.9
2377
#35
33.01.4
27.128.4
Auto12.3
Teleop13.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned