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Red100
632642.0
686329.6
11636.1
Blue57
138938.9
903329.2
862218.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1036205015020010057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6326
#25
42.00.6
32.533.0
Auto9.4
Teleop24.6
End7.3
red by 3.0
1389
#44
38.90.7
30.629.9
Auto13.3
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
116
#38
36.10.6
34.334.9
Auto8.7
Teleop21.1
End5.9
red by 6.9
9033
#49
29.20.7
21.320.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.8
End4.0
Third
6863
#21
29.60.6
24.925.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.4
End6.8
red by 11.4
8622
#53
18.20.7
11.210.4
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsMissed