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Red137
580459.0
409946.9
162949.7
Blue102
206822.1
632642.0
108627.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16063050100200250137102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.00.4
56.956.5
Auto14.9
Teleop33.8
End8.1
red by 17.1
6326
#25
42.02.1
33.635.7
Auto9.4
Teleop24.6
End7.3
Second
1629
#12
49.70.4
44.944.5
Auto14.8
Teleop28.4
End5.8
red by 22.0
1086
#54
27.72.1
22.024.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.2
End6.9
Third
4099
#23
46.90.4
41.140.8
Auto11.2
Teleop28.0
End7.3
red by 24.8
2068
#58
22.12.1
15.317.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsMissed22%Activation oddsEarned