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Red141
572446.2
823038.5
313640.9
Blue119
219951.7
393938.5
62027.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151148090100110120130140150141119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#18
46.22.2
37.940.1
Auto10.7
Teleop26.1
End8.6
blue by 5.6
2199
#24
51.70.8
46.647.4
Auto15.8
Teleop25.9
End9.0
Second
3136
#39
40.92.2
36.438.6
Auto11.5
Teleop23.2
End6.3
red by 2.4
3939
#32
38.50.8
33.634.4
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End5.9
Third
8230
#36
38.52.2
33.535.7
Auto14.1
Teleop17.9
End6.6
red by 11.5
620
#57
27.10.8
26.927.7
Auto8.5
Teleop13.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned