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Red143
253734.1
173160.3
61134.9
Blue147
162949.7
62027.1
859260.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11714250100150200143147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.31.4
53.554.9
Auto14.5
Teleop34.9
End8.7
blue by 0.1
60.40.5
56.757.2
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
Second
611
#50
34.91.4
26.928.3
Auto9.3
Teleop20.3
End5.2
blue by 14.8
1629
#12
49.70.5
45.545.9
Auto14.8
Teleop28.4
End5.8
Third
2537
#41
34.11.4
33.634.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.5
End7.8
red by 7.1
620
#57
27.10.5
27.728.2
Auto8.5
Teleop13.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned