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Red161
236365.3
42255.6
108627.7
Blue128
445636.9
632642.0
210645.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15011550100200250161128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.31.0
62.563.5
Auto14.3
Teleop40.2
End7.8
red by 20.3
2106
#20
45.00.4
39.139.5
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End9.5
Second
422
#11
55.61.0
50.351.3
Auto14.8
Teleop34.2
End6.4
red by 13.7
6326
#25
42.00.4
36.036.4
Auto9.4
Teleop24.6
End7.3
Third
1086
#54
27.71.0
25.026.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.2
End6.9
blue by 9.2
4456
#27
36.90.4
38.839.2
Auto11.6
Teleop17.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed85%Activation oddsEarned