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Red128
97730.8
11636.1
44950.0
Blue131
108627.7
210645.0
40158.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141336080100140160180200128131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#16
50.00.9
44.745.7
Auto13.7
Teleop28.8
End7.5
blue by 8.4
401
#6
58.50.3
56.556.8
Auto13.2
Teleop37.4
End6.4
Second
116
#38
36.10.9
36.337.2
Auto8.7
Teleop21.1
End5.9
blue by 8.9
2106
#20
45.00.3
39.539.7
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End9.5
Third
977
#48
30.80.9
27.928.9
Auto9.9
Teleop13.9
End7.0
red by 3.1
1086
#54
27.70.3
26.026.3
Auto6.7
Teleop14.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned