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Red123
190839.4
907224.0
313640.9
Blue162
68644.7
62345.1
12238.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10312550150200123162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#39
40.91.3
39.140.4
Auto11.5
Teleop23.2
End6.3
blue by 4.2
623
#22
45.12.5
40.342.8
Auto11.4
Teleop25.6
End8.3
Second
1908
#29
39.41.3
37.338.5
Auto11.8
Teleop19.5
End7.9
blue by 5.3
686
#37
44.72.5
42.444.9
Auto13.1
Teleop23.8
End7.1
Third
9072
#56
24.01.3
22.723.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.9
End6.0
blue by 14.7
122
#28
38.72.5
31.834.3
Auto11.8
Teleop19.7
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned