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Red120
38456.8
393938.5
61231.5
Blue173
172765.9
859260.4
632642.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130159100150200120173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#9
56.80.4
52.552.1
Auto13.9
Teleop34.7
End7.0
blue by 9.1
65.91.9
59.961.7
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.6
Second
3939
#32
38.50.4
38.438.1
Auto10.3
Teleop22.2
End5.9
blue by 22.0
60.41.9
57.259.0
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
Third
612
#42
31.50.4
34.634.2
Auto9.0
Teleop15.7
End6.8
blue by 10.4
6326
#25
42.01.9
36.438.3
Auto9.4
Teleop24.6
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsEarned86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned